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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+6.22vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+8.68vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.43+7.24vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.80+4.32vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38+1.05vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.50+3.63vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.15+4.13vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12+3.14vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+2.65vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.94+2.24vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.64-1.80vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.52+1.86vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-6.54vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.62-5.17vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.99-7.44vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.50-6.24vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.35-6.62vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.18-11.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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6.05Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.63Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.13University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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11.14Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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12.24University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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9.2College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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13.86Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.83Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.56Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.76Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.38George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.64Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.5% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% |
| Christina Nothacker | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 12.5% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 30.3% |
| Emily Haig | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Emma White | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.