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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+5.35vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+7.89vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+3.71vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.43+5.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+6.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.80+2.39vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.15+4.16vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.64+1.00vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.12+2.32vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.35+0.54vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.18-3.99vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.50-1.95vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.99-5.51vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.95vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.52-1.48vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.62-6.77vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.94-4.88vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.15-11.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.89Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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9.0College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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11.32Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.54George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.01Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.05Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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13.52Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.23Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
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12.12University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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6.74Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| Emily Haig | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 7.3% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Emma White | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 25.7% |
| Stephanie Houck | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.7% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.