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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+8.81vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.12+9.50vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.43+7.15vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+2.83vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38+0.97vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35+4.18vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.18-0.20vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.19vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-1.51vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.62-0.67vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.33-0.53vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.52+1.75vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.80-4.85vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-7.74vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.50-5.47vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.94-3.98vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.15-5.79vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.5Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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6.83Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.97Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.18George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.8Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.33Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.47College of Charleston2.330.0%1st Place
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13.75Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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6.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.53Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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12.02University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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11.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Emma White | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Mignon | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 29.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Emily Haig | 10.5% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 14.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.