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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+8.81vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+8.54vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+3.92vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.12+7.11vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+5.14vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.43+2.91vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.50+1.51vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.38-3.04vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.99-2.18vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.62-1.77vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.94+0.30vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.15-2.10vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.52-0.82vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.80-6.79vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.33-5.53vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-5.25vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.15-11.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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6.92Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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11.11Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.14George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.91University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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9.51Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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5.96Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.82Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.23Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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12.3University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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13.18Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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10.47College of Charleston2.330.0%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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6.75Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 10.6% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% |
| Emily Haig | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 10.7% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma White | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.8% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 25.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Mignon | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 10.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.