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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+6.01vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+5.06vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62+6.27vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.21+6.68vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38+0.95vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.26vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.80vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.35+1.13vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.12+1.40vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.99-3.35vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.94+0.23vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.80-4.83vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-2.81vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.15-3.97vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.50-6.38vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.50-7.29vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.52-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.06Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.27Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.68College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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5.95Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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6.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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10.13George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.4Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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12.23University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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11.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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9.62Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.71Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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13.37Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Stephanie Houck | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Liza Toppa | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
| Emily Haig | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% |
| Emma White | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 15.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.