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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+5.68vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+4.90vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+6.75vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+1.97vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.12+5.98vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.21+4.88vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.15+4.03vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.50+1.49vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-1.59vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.17vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-0.57vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.35vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.62-4.08vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.15-7.37vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.52-1.55vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-4.36vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.35-6.69vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.94-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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6.9Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.75Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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5.97Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.98Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.88College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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9.49Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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10.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.92Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.63Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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13.45Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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10.31George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.73University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% |
| Liza Toppa | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Emma White | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 24.8% |
| Christina Nothacker | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.