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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.85+3.49vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.95+2.43vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.05+4.60vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.05+3.00vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.59+0.07vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.55+2.66vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+0.45vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College0.70+0.31vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.46+0.23vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.63vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.10-1.27vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-2.96vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.31-3.87vs Predicted
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14The Citadel0.33-4.93vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-0.54-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Harvard University1.8517.5%1st Place
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4.43Boston College1.9516.3%1st Place
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7.6Bowdoin College0.055.8%1st Place
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7.0University of Vermont1.056.4%1st Place
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5.07Tufts University1.5913.5%1st Place
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8.66Tufts University0.555.1%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.886.3%1st Place
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8.31Dartmouth College0.704.5%1st Place
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9.23Northeastern University0.464.2%1st Place
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9.37Maine Maritime Academy0.413.4%1st Place
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9.73University of New Hampshire0.103.2%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.9%1st Place
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9.13University of California at Berkeley0.314.0%1st Place
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9.07The Citadel0.334.0%1st Place
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11.41Northwestern University-0.541.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 17.5% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 16.3% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Gus Macaulay | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| Sam Harris | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% |
| Wilton Lawton | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.