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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.76+7.23vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+6.94vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+2.32vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+1.40vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+5.13vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+1.86vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.79+5.03vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.35+1.61vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.29+0.91vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.22+0.49vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.68-2.56vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.67-3.24vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.50-4.08vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.91-2.71vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.29-5.03vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.23-1.82vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.21vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-8.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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8.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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5.32Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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5.4Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.13Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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12.03University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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9.61Cornell University3.350.0%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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10.49College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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8.44Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.76Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.92Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.29Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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9.97University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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14.18George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.79U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Roble | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Sydney Bolger | 12.7% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 14.2% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Megan Magill | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% |
| Lauren Turner | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Catherine Swanson | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Corey Hall | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 14.6% | 32.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.