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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+5.41vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.15+8.50vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.50+6.14vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+3.25vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+1.33vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.59vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.12+3.67vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.21vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.77+3.19vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-0.32vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.38-5.12vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.59+0.47vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.35-3.15vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-7.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-4.00vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.62-7.32vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.50-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.5University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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9.14Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.33Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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10.67Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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12.19Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.47University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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9.85George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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11.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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8.68Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.24Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
| Emma White | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.1% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 19.4% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 24.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| Emily Haig | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% |
| Stephanie Houck | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.