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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+5.19vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+4.87vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+4.60vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.21+6.66vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.15+1.89vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.12+5.16vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.15+3.99vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-1.65vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.35+1.13vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.50-0.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.80-2.60vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.43-1.81vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.62-4.14vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-4.09vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.50-5.46vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.77-3.32vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-5.32vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.59-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.87Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.6Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.66College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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6.89Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.16Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.99University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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6.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.13George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.8Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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10.19University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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8.86Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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9.54Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.68Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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13.09University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma White | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Liza Toppa | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Emily Haig | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 17.2% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.