Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Andrew Savage 7.8% 8.2% 13.3% 12.5% 14.6% 17.6% 13.9% 8.3% 3.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Kerner 7.9% 11.1% 10.3% 13.7% 13.4% 16.6% 15.7% 8.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Wells Drayton 10.6% 14.0% 13.8% 15.8% 15.5% 15.2% 9.1% 4.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Belda 32.3% 21.6% 18.9% 12.9% 8.8% 3.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael O'Flaherty 18.4% 16.7% 17.3% 15.7% 13.9% 9.8% 5.3% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jed Bell 15.0% 18.8% 17.7% 15.0% 14.1% 9.0% 6.9% 3.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maya Stephani 3.5% 3.2% 3.8% 6.6% 7.5% 10.2% 18.4% 23.4% 15.3% 6.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 3.1% 4.5% 3.6% 5.9% 7.4% 11.7% 17.3% 27.2% 13.0% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Kyle Boucher 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 1.9% 2.8% 4.3% 6.7% 19.8% 27.7% 21.5% 10.0% 2.4%
Jamie Vaccaro 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 2.9% 5.9% 11.7% 20.4% 32.4% 23.8%
Evan McCarty 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 1.4% 2.0% 4.6% 7.7% 25.4% 25.7% 20.2% 9.0% 2.4%
Blake Colquhoun 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 4.3% 10.5% 16.3% 26.7% 27.1% 11.1%
Abby Smurzynski 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 2.6% 5.5% 8.7% 21.1% 60.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.