Race 2A

invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael O'Flaherty 16.4% 17.2% 18.0% 14.8% 14.7% 10.4% 5.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jed Bell 15.3% 17.2% 15.8% 17.3% 13.5% 10.6% 6.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Belda 30.8% 23.6% 18.4% 13.5% 8.9% 3.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Savage 8.2% 8.7% 10.8% 14.2% 14.7% 16.2% 15.4% 8.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wells Drayton 12.6% 14.0% 14.3% 14.1% 13.7% 15.6% 10.6% 3.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 2.8% 3.6% 5.3% 5.4% 8.1% 11.6% 17.4% 25.1% 12.9% 6.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Catherine Kerner 9.3% 10.6% 11.3% 13.0% 14.1% 17.1% 13.0% 8.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maya Stephani 3.0% 4.0% 3.8% 5.6% 7.7% 9.3% 18.3% 26.3% 14.7% 5.5% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Evan McCarty 0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 1.8% 2.9% 3.8% 6.9% 18.8% 27.7% 22.0% 10.7% 2.7%
Jamie Vaccaro 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.7% 2.9% 6.7% 11.1% 20.7% 32.3% 23.7%
Kyle Boucher 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 1.6% 1.5% 5.3% 8.4% 25.8% 25.8% 19.1% 8.2% 2.3%
Blake Colquhoun 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.7% 4.0% 10.7% 16.2% 26.6% 27.3% 10.9%
Abby Smurzynski 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 3.1% 5.0% 8.8% 21.2% 60.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.