Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Wells Drayton 12.3% 12.5% 15.0% 14.3% 15.5% 14.6% 9.8% 5.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Kerner 8.3% 10.2% 11.5% 12.1% 16.2% 16.1% 15.6% 7.5% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael O'Flaherty 15.8% 17.5% 16.9% 18.0% 12.8% 11.0% 5.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jed Bell 15.5% 15.5% 18.8% 16.7% 13.9% 11.5% 4.8% 2.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Savage 8.8% 9.8% 11.0% 12.2% 16.2% 16.0% 14.1% 9.8% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Belda 32.0% 25.0% 16.5% 13.8% 5.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maya Stephani 3.4% 3.2% 4.5% 6.0% 7.3% 10.4% 19.9% 24.7% 15.4% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 2.6% 5.1% 4.3% 5.0% 8.8% 10.4% 20.4% 27.2% 12.0% 3.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Boucher 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 3.9% 8.3% 27.5% 26.2% 17.8% 6.8% 1.7%
Jamie Vaccaro 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 1.4% 2.9% 8.5% 14.0% 21.5% 29.6% 20.4%
Blake Colquhoun 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 2.1% 4.8% 15.4% 25.6% 25.0% 17.7% 7.4%
Braelan Creswell 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.3% 3.9% 12.0% 19.0% 22.8% 25.2% 14.6%
Abby Smurzynski 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 3.8% 6.7% 11.2% 20.5% 55.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.