Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jed Bell 15.4% 18.2% 17.0% 16.6% 15.0% 11.0% 5.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Kerner 8.4% 10.7% 12.5% 13.7% 17.0% 17.9% 13.0% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Savage 7.3% 9.1% 13.2% 13.1% 16.0% 19.8% 15.3% 4.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 3.4% 2.9% 4.6% 5.8% 8.1% 14.6% 29.0% 20.5% 7.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia Belda 32.6% 25.8% 17.6% 12.3% 7.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael O'Flaherty 17.5% 18.9% 17.5% 16.5% 14.1% 8.2% 6.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wells Drayton 13.5% 12.2% 14.9% 17.0% 15.9% 13.6% 9.5% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Collins 0.4% 0.9% 0.6% 1.3% 1.8% 3.3% 5.5% 16.4% 22.1% 22.0% 15.5% 8.5% 1.7%
Evan McCarty 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 1.4% 1.6% 3.6% 5.4% 14.7% 20.2% 20.1% 19.6% 9.8% 2.0%
Kyle Boucher 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 1.7% 2.1% 3.3% 5.5% 18.6% 20.1% 20.0% 17.2% 6.8% 3.0%
Blake Colquhoun 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 1.2% 2.3% 8.1% 14.9% 19.4% 22.3% 21.6% 8.7%
Jamie Vaccaro 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 1.6% 5.0% 7.2% 10.9% 15.5% 33.4% 24.8%
Abby Smurzynski 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 1.8% 3.8% 4.3% 9.1% 19.8% 59.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.