Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jed Bell 15.6% 16.9% 17.8% 16.0% 15.7% 10.0% 6.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Kerner 8.0% 11.4% 12.6% 13.8% 15.6% 18.0% 13.0% 5.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael O'Flaherty 15.8% 18.1% 20.0% 15.3% 15.2% 9.5% 5.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Belda 31.4% 24.0% 17.7% 16.2% 6.9% 2.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Savage 9.9% 10.5% 10.8% 12.6% 15.8% 21.0% 12.9% 5.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 2.6% 4.3% 5.0% 5.5% 9.1% 13.4% 29.2% 19.9% 7.5% 3.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Wells Drayton 14.4% 13.0% 13.3% 16.4% 15.5% 15.1% 9.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Blake Colquhoun 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 1.4% 3.6% 7.9% 13.3% 16.6% 22.3% 24.9% 8.4%
Kevin Collins 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 3.2% 6.5% 15.0% 22.0% 21.7% 16.9% 8.0% 2.0%
Evan McCarty 0.7% 0.1% 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 2.9% 6.2% 16.0% 21.0% 20.4% 15.6% 9.4% 3.5%
Jamie Vaccaro 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 1.2% 4.2% 9.8% 11.9% 21.0% 29.4% 21.1%
Kyle Boucher 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 2.7% 5.7% 17.5% 20.4% 21.0% 14.9% 11.4% 2.2%
Abby Smurzynski 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 2.8% 3.0% 4.5% 9.0% 16.8% 62.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.