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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jed Bell 16.4% 16.7% 18.3% 15.5% 16.5% 9.7% 5.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wells Drayton 10.4% 15.0% 15.1% 16.2% 16.9% 13.7% 9.0% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael O'Flaherty 16.8% 17.0% 18.8% 18.1% 13.5% 10.7% 4.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Savage 8.8% 8.6% 11.9% 13.9% 16.7% 19.4% 14.5% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Belda 32.2% 26.7% 16.9% 12.9% 5.9% 3.9% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 3.2% 4.3% 4.4% 6.5% 8.2% 15.7% 30.3% 17.5% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Kerner 10.4% 10.0% 12.2% 13.4% 17.0% 17.6% 14.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Collins 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 2.9% 5.5% 20.2% 26.1% 20.8% 12.2% 6.2% 1.3%
Blake Colquhoun 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 1.4% 3.3% 8.1% 13.7% 20.9% 22.9% 19.9% 7.4%
Braelan Creswell 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 1.3% 2.5% 7.7% 12.6% 17.0% 22.3% 21.6% 13.2%
Kyle Boucher 0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 0.7% 1.4% 2.9% 7.4% 23.8% 24.0% 20.0% 11.0% 5.5% 1.6%
Jamie Vaccaro 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 1.3% 6.0% 9.6% 12.9% 20.9% 25.5% 22.0%
Abby Smurzynski 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 3.2% 3.1% 6.2% 10.4% 21.3% 54.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.