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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+2.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.94+1.10vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.28-0.52vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.57-0.30vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.89-3.49vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.57-0.70vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.61-3.47vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.21+0.03vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.99+0.24vs Predicted
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11University of Maine-2.22-0.47vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22-3.03vs Predicted
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13Williams College-2.51-1.98vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University-3.31-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Brown University2.220.2%1st Place
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4.1Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Rhode Island2.280.2%1st Place
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4.7Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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2.51Brown University2.890.3%1st Place
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6.3Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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4.53Harvard University1.610.1%1st Place
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9.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.24Bentley University-1.990.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Maine-2.220.0%1st Place
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8.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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11.02Williams College-2.510.0%1st Place
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12.01Brandeis University-3.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 16.4% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 10.4% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 16.8% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Savage | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 14.5% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 32.2% | 26.7% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 15.7% | 30.3% | 17.5% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Kerner | 10.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Collins | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 20.2% | 26.1% | 20.8% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Blake Colquhoun | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 20.9% | 22.9% | 19.9% | 7.4% |
| Braelan Creswell | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 22.3% | 21.6% | 13.2% |
| Kyle Boucher | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 7.4% | 23.8% | 24.0% | 20.0% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Jamie Vaccaro | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 20.9% | 25.5% | 22.0% |
| Abby Smurzynski | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 21.3% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.