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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.95+3.46vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.05+5.83vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.05+3.83vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.10+5.67vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+2.71vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.85-1.72vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.70+1.14vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.55+0.60vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.46+0.45vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.49vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.59-5.98vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-3.14vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.54-1.64vs Predicted
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14The Citadel0.33-4.94vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.31-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Boston College1.9516.7%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College0.055.6%1st Place
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6.83University of Vermont1.057.9%1st Place
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9.67University of New Hampshire0.103.1%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.886.0%1st Place
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4.28Harvard University1.8517.0%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College0.705.4%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University0.554.5%1st Place
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9.45Northeastern University0.463.5%1st Place
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9.51Maine Maritime Academy0.412.8%1st Place
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5.02Tufts University1.5914.1%1st Place
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8.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.8%1st Place
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11.36Northwestern University-0.541.9%1st Place
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9.06The Citadel0.333.9%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Berkeley0.314.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 16.7% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Sam Harris | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Harrison Strom | 17.0% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% |
| Gus Macaulay | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 28.9% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% |
| Wilton Lawton | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.