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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.29+9.12vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.23+12.38vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.76+5.25vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+1.43vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.00+6.11vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.71vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67+1.38vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+1.88vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-1.16vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.93vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.51-5.70vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-1.39vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.35-3.41vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.79-2.27vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.29-5.01vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.50-6.81vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.68-8.52vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.22-7.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.12Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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14.38George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.25Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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5.43Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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11.11Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.38Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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7.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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11.93U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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5.3Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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10.61Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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9.59Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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9.99University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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9.19Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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8.48Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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10.09College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine Swanson | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Meredith Carroll | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 34.5% |
| Stephanie Roble | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 14.4% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Caroline Patten | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Megan Magill | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.0% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 11.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Corey Hall | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.