Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Aryaman Dutta 12.0% 14.6% 14.4% 14.6% 14.1% 12.5% 9.6% 5.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryutaro Sochi 32.5% 24.0% 18.0% 11.1% 6.5% 4.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Meghan Haviland 10.1% 13.8% 14.1% 13.5% 15.4% 12.8% 10.2% 7.4% 2.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Brock 11.5% 12.2% 13.2% 16.3% 13.9% 13.0% 10.6% 5.7% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
William DeLong 13.9% 14.1% 14.4% 14.4% 13.2% 11.3% 11.9% 5.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sloane Kratzman 7.7% 6.6% 9.9% 10.9% 12.6% 15.2% 14.6% 14.6% 6.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
William Tagliamonte 0.6% 1.3% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 2.4% 2.9% 7.8% 18.0% 29.4% 27.4% 6.3% 0.2%
Kennard MacVaugh 1.1% 0.7% 1.4% 2.0% 2.9% 2.5% 5.8% 9.5% 25.7% 27.5% 17.2% 3.7% 0.0%
Paul Kuechler 6.6% 7.6% 9.1% 9.6% 12.6% 14.9% 14.8% 14.6% 7.4% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Kiley 3.5% 4.7% 3.8% 5.8% 6.3% 9.6% 14.8% 23.7% 17.6% 8.0% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Phoebe Walsh 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 2.0% 4.1% 13.6% 21.7% 38.7% 15.9% 1.0%
Tristan Whalen 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 1.2% 2.6% 7.1% 13.5% 68.2% 6.1%
Hanil Kang 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.7% 0.5% 5.7% 92.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.