Race 2B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
William DeLong 13.0% 13.6% 14.8% 14.2% 14.2% 11.5% 11.1% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryutaro Sochi 32.2% 24.2% 15.6% 13.3% 8.4% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Aryaman Dutta 11.9% 15.8% 12.8% 14.3% 13.0% 13.9% 10.3% 5.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Brock 11.1% 11.8% 14.7% 15.3% 12.7% 13.5% 12.2% 5.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Kiley 3.4% 4.5% 5.5% 6.4% 8.2% 8.9% 12.4% 22.9% 18.9% 7.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Kennard MacVaugh 0.4% 0.8% 1.3% 2.8% 2.5% 2.5% 4.4% 9.8% 27.0% 28.2% 17.1% 3.2% 0.0%
Sloane Kratzman 8.1% 7.7% 9.1% 9.9% 11.6% 15.1% 15.1% 14.7% 7.1% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Paul Kuechler 7.2% 8.4% 8.5% 8.9% 12.7% 15.3% 16.4% 15.3% 5.4% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Meghan Haviland 11.7% 12.1% 15.9% 13.3% 13.7% 12.3% 10.4% 7.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Tagliamonte 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 1.8% 2.3% 3.0% 6.5% 16.9% 30.9% 27.4% 7.6% 0.1%
Phoebe Walsh 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.9% 0.9% 2.2% 4.4% 13.3% 21.3% 38.8% 15.9% 1.0%
Tristan Whalen 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% 2.8% 6.1% 14.6% 67.5% 6.2%
Hanil Kang 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 5.6% 92.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.