Race 3B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Aryaman Dutta 13.3% 11.4% 14.3% 16.1% 15.0% 12.3% 9.5% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Meghan Haviland 11.4% 12.8% 14.0% 13.5% 15.3% 12.9% 11.3% 6.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William DeLong 11.4% 15.5% 14.2% 14.9% 13.5% 13.1% 9.7% 5.7% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryutaro Sochi 31.0% 24.5% 17.3% 12.7% 7.3% 4.8% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennard MacVaugh 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 1.3% 2.4% 3.4% 4.3% 11.8% 26.2% 28.7% 14.4% 3.0% 0.0%
Sloane Kratzman 6.8% 8.5% 9.8% 9.5% 12.1% 15.3% 15.9% 13.1% 7.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
William Tagliamonte 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.8% 0.9% 2.6% 3.5% 6.6% 19.0% 32.4% 25.1% 5.3% 0.2%
Paul Kuechler 7.2% 8.5% 8.5% 10.1% 13.2% 12.6% 19.2% 13.7% 5.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Kiley 3.4% 4.2% 4.3% 5.5% 6.3% 9.4% 13.6% 24.4% 18.9% 7.9% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Carter Brock 12.9% 12.3% 14.1% 14.0% 13.1% 13.0% 9.9% 7.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Taylor Davis 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 1.4% 3.3% 11.0% 19.3% 42.2% 19.7% 1.1%
Tristan Whalen 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 1.2% 2.9% 7.2% 15.0% 66.2% 6.1%
Hanil Kang 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 1.0% 5.6% 92.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.