Race 4B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Meghan Haviland 11.4% 11.7% 16.4% 13.0% 14.3% 13.5% 11.4% 5.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William DeLong 12.8% 13.1% 15.6% 14.9% 13.2% 11.0% 9.6% 7.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryutaro Sochi 31.7% 24.1% 16.0% 13.7% 9.2% 3.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Paul Kuechler 6.3% 8.3% 7.8% 11.5% 12.2% 13.6% 17.3% 14.2% 6.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Aryaman Dutta 14.0% 14.8% 14.5% 12.9% 13.7% 13.2% 9.1% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Kiley 2.9% 4.1% 5.3% 5.5% 7.3% 10.9% 13.8% 24.8% 16.3% 7.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Carter Brock 12.8% 12.8% 14.0% 13.4% 13.5% 14.2% 10.5% 6.2% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennard MacVaugh 0.6% 1.4% 1.8% 1.4% 2.8% 3.5% 3.7% 9.6% 29.7% 27.8% 14.9% 2.8% 0.0%
Sloane Kratzman 6.3% 8.7% 7.8% 11.0% 11.7% 13.3% 18.0% 14.3% 7.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
William Tagliamonte 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 2.0% 1.7% 2.4% 3.1% 7.3% 20.3% 31.5% 22.7% 7.2% 0.1%
Taylor Davis 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 1.0% 1.1% 3.1% 8.9% 21.4% 42.1% 19.8% 1.1%
Tristan Whalen 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 1.2% 2.9% 7.0% 16.5% 64.6% 6.2%
Hanil Kang 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 1.1% 5.5% 92.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.