Race 5B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sloane Kratzman 7.0% 7.6% 9.1% 10.7% 12.2% 13.6% 18.7% 13.6% 6.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryutaro Sochi 32.4% 23.0% 18.7% 12.1% 6.5% 4.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Kiley 2.4% 3.3% 4.0% 6.0% 7.5% 10.3% 15.0% 26.4% 18.1% 6.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Brock 11.8% 11.6% 14.1% 15.1% 13.8% 14.9% 9.9% 5.9% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Paul Kuechler 7.5% 7.9% 9.1% 11.5% 11.4% 13.9% 16.6% 15.1% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
William DeLong 12.5% 15.2% 15.0% 13.7% 13.6% 12.5% 8.9% 6.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennard MacVaugh 0.8% 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 2.7% 2.7% 5.3% 10.6% 33.0% 30.6% 8.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Aryaman Dutta 11.7% 15.3% 14.2% 13.8% 16.1% 11.9% 8.6% 6.1% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Tagliamonte 0.6% 1.1% 0.8% 1.3% 2.3% 1.5% 4.2% 6.1% 22.0% 43.7% 13.9% 2.5% 0.0%
Meghan Haviland 13.0% 13.6% 13.0% 13.7% 13.2% 13.5% 10.5% 7.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tristan Whalen 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.8% 4.6% 9.7% 50.8% 29.2% 3.7%
Marco Manfra 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 1.8% 5.8% 22.4% 57.7% 10.6%
Hanil Kang 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 3.5% 9.6% 85.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.