← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.16+1.65vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.27+2.19vs Predicted
-
3Brown University0.64+2.51vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.18+0.44vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+3.75vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University0.65-0.62vs Predicted
-
7Bentley University-0.09-0.23vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.27-3.87vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.18-4.57vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.76-0.72vs Predicted
-
12Williams College-3.60-0.94vs Predicted
-
13University of Maine-4.19-1.38vs Predicted
-
14Brandeis University-6.14-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.65Tufts University2.160.3%1st Place
-
4.19Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
-
5.51Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
-
4.44University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
-
8.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
-
5.38Harvard University0.650.1%1st Place
-
6.77Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
-
4.13Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
-
4.43Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
-
9.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.760.0%1st Place
-
11.06Williams College-3.600.0%1st Place
-
11.62University of Maine-4.190.0%1st Place
-
12.78Brandeis University-6.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryutaro Sochi | 30.5% | 25.5% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William DeLong | 13.8% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sloane Kratzman | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Haviland | 12.1% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 31.6% | 30.7% | 9.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Kuechler | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Kiley | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 26.7% | 17.6% | 6.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 13.1% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Tagliamonte | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 22.8% | 44.6% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Tristan Whalen | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 50.9% | 29.1% | 3.7% |
| Marco Manfra | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 23.6% | 57.4% | 10.6% |
| Hanil Kang | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 3.6% | 9.6% | 85.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.