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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ryutaro Sochi 30.5% 25.5% 17.3% 12.2% 7.6% 4.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William DeLong 13.8% 12.4% 13.7% 16.7% 14.6% 12.3% 9.5% 4.5% 2.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sloane Kratzman 6.0% 7.3% 10.6% 9.7% 11.2% 15.5% 16.9% 14.3% 7.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Meghan Haviland 12.1% 10.6% 14.2% 15.9% 12.4% 13.2% 11.7% 7.7% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennard MacVaugh 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.4% 3.2% 5.7% 11.3% 31.6% 30.7% 9.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Paul Kuechler 7.4% 9.0% 8.5% 10.5% 13.1% 12.8% 15.6% 16.0% 5.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Kiley 3.6% 4.5% 5.6% 5.4% 7.4% 8.6% 13.8% 26.7% 17.6% 6.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Aryaman Dutta 13.1% 15.3% 13.4% 12.6% 16.6% 14.0% 9.4% 4.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Brock 11.8% 12.8% 13.7% 13.4% 13.7% 13.5% 10.7% 7.3% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Tagliamonte 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 2.5% 3.9% 6.0% 22.8% 44.6% 12.1% 2.9% 0.0%
Tristan Whalen 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 5.0% 9.3% 50.9% 29.1% 3.7%
Marco Manfra 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 2.6% 4.3% 23.6% 57.4% 10.6%
Hanil Kang 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 3.6% 9.6% 85.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.