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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-0.05+1.53vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.05+0.48vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.33-0.03vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-3.27+3.06vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.37-0.49vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.30-1.64vs Predicted
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7Hope College-2.27-1.12vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.60-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Michigan Technological University-0.050.3%1st Place
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2.48Ohio State University0.050.3%1st Place
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2.97Grand Valley State University-0.330.2%1st Place
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7.06Northern Michigan University-3.270.0%1st Place
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4.51Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.36Western Michigan University-1.300.1%1st Place
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5.88Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Michigan-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donny Marwin | 29.6% | 25.6% | 20.5% | 14.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tony Prenger | 29.8% | 27.7% | 19.4% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 20.3% | 21.1% | 23.7% | 18.7% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Fassnacht | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 10.7% | 21.6% | 55.2% |
| Joshua Spano | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 23.0% | 20.1% | 9.5% | 2.4% |
| David Resnick | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 24.2% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 2.8% |
| Justin Edick | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 23.2% | 28.3% | 16.4% |
| Axel Steinmetz | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 21.6% | 29.8% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.