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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University-1.37+2.74vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.33+0.31vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-1.30+0.72vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.16-0.50vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-1.28-1.31vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-3.23+0.60vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-2.60-1.19vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-3.27-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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2.31Grand Valley State University-0.330.4%1st Place
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3.72Western Michigan University-1.300.1%1st Place
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3.5Hope College-1.160.2%1st Place
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3.69Michigan Technological University-1.280.1%1st Place
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6.6Ohio State University-3.230.0%1st Place
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5.81University of Michigan-2.600.0%1st Place
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6.62Northern Michigan University-3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Spano | 12.6% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 38.0% | 23.5% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Resnick | 13.6% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 15.7% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Sawyer | 12.9% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Ian Waddell | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 26.5% | 39.4% |
| Axel Steinmetz | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 23.4% | 24.5% | 18.6% |
| Nicole Fassnacht | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 15.4% | 29.6% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.