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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.76+7.25vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.23+12.38vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.00+8.52vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+4.99vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.29+4.87vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+1.83vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+2.99vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.68+0.26vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.67-0.66vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.22+0.54vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.43-5.47vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.51-6.54vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-4.42vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.79-2.29vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.35vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.23-5.65vs Predicted
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17Cornell University3.35-7.09vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.29-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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14.38George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.52Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.99Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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7.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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8.26Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.54College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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5.53Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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5.46Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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11.71University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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11.65U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.35Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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9.91Cornell University3.350.0%1st Place
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9.84University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Roble | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Meredith Carroll | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 34.5% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Megan Magill | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Corey Hall | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 13.3% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Patten | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% |
| Lauren Turner | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.