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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University-0.43+1.88vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.33+0.82vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.05-0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-2.60+2.05vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.37-0.70vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-3.27+0.78vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.16-2.96vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-3.23-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Western Michigan University-0.430.2%1st Place
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2.82Grand Valley State University-0.330.2%1st Place
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2.4Michigan Technological University-0.050.3%1st Place
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6.05University of Michigan-2.600.0%1st Place
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4.3Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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6.78Northern Michigan University-3.270.0%1st Place
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4.04Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
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6.73Ohio State University-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Lee | 22.1% | 22.9% | 22.3% | 17.0% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 23.4% | 23.7% | 21.0% | 16.6% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Donny Marwin | 33.1% | 25.5% | 20.0% | 13.6% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Axel Steinmetz | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 26.4% | 28.8% | 17.9% |
| Joshua Spano | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 27.1% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Nicole Fassnacht | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 16.8% | 25.3% | 43.0% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 21.5% | 23.7% | 13.6% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Ian Waddell | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 16.7% | 32.7% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.