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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University-1.37+3.22vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.05+0.45vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.33-0.23vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-0.43-1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-2.60+1.04vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-3.27+0.82vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.16-2.97vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-3.23-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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2.45Michigan Technological University-0.050.3%1st Place
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2.77Grand Valley State University-0.330.2%1st Place
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2.95Western Michigan University-0.430.2%1st Place
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6.04University of Michigan-2.600.0%1st Place
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6.82Northern Michigan University-3.270.0%1st Place
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4.03Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
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6.71Ohio State University-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Spano | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 24.0% | 15.3% | 7.6% | 1.3% |
| Donny Marwin | 31.4% | 25.3% | 21.0% | 13.8% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 24.0% | 23.6% | 22.0% | 17.1% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Austin Lee | 21.8% | 20.6% | 21.8% | 18.8% | 11.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Axel Steinmetz | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 12.9% | 26.0% | 29.1% | 17.0% |
| Nicole Fassnacht | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 16.2% | 25.3% | 44.1% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 10.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 19.1% | 22.5% | 15.6% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Ian Waddell | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 7.3% | 17.8% | 30.9% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.