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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+9.09vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+6.88vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.23+11.24vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+1.38vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.67+3.30vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.22+4.29vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50+2.07vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.29+1.86vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.68-0.78vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-1.93vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.51-5.72vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.00-0.47vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.79-1.14vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.23-4.13vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.76-7.10vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.35-6.17vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.29-6.88vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.71-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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8.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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14.24George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.38Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.29College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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9.07Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.86Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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8.22Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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5.28Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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11.53Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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11.86University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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9.87Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.9Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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9.83Cornell University3.350.0%1st Place
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10.12University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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12.2U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krysta Rohde | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 33.3% |
| Anne Haeger | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Corey Hall | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Megan Magill | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.6% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 11.4% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% |
| Stephanie Roble | 6.1% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Turner | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Killian Corbishley | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.