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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.85+3.33vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.70+6.14vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.95+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.05+2.94vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.59+0.05vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.33+3.22vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.05+0.90vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-0.48vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+0.04vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.46-0.67vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.10-1.34vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.55-3.59vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.54-1.60vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.31-4.92vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.41-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Harvard University1.8517.9%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College0.705.5%1st Place
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4.63Boston College1.9514.3%1st Place
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6.94University of Vermont1.057.0%1st Place
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5.05Tufts University1.5914.0%1st Place
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9.22The Citadel0.333.7%1st Place
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7.9Bowdoin College0.056.0%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.886.2%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.334.2%1st Place
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9.33Northeastern University0.463.1%1st Place
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9.66University of New Hampshire0.103.8%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University0.554.5%1st Place
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11.4Northwestern University-0.542.1%1st Place
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9.08University of California at Berkeley0.313.9%1st Place
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9.36Maine Maritime Academy0.413.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 17.9% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 14.3% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Gus Macaulay | 14.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% |
| Sam Harris | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Anna Kovacs | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 29.5% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.