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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.79+1.99vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+0.08vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.56+0.38vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.12+0.02vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.01-0.80vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.96-0.49vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.31-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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2.08University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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3.38University of British Columbia0.560.1%1st Place
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4.02Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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4.2Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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5.51Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.82Western Washington University-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Hauter | 20.8% | 23.8% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Erik Skeel | 41.6% | 28.9% | 16.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Rona Utku | 14.8% | 17.2% | 22.7% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 9.7% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 22.2% | 16.2% | 5.3% |
| Harrison Saliba | 7.4% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 21.4% | 21.4% | 16.5% | 8.0% |
| Carter Dojan | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 29.5% | 33.2% |
| Karey Sharp | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 23.9% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.