← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.79+1.99vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington1.53+0.10vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.96+2.49vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-0.01+0.22vs Predicted
-
5University of British Columbia0.56-1.60vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-1.31-0.09vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University0.12-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.99University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
-
2.1University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
-
5.49Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
-
4.22Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
-
3.4University of British Columbia0.560.1%1st Place
-
5.91Western Washington University-1.310.0%1st Place
-
3.9Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Hauter | 21.7% | 22.3% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Erik Skeel | 40.5% | 27.7% | 19.0% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Carter Dojan | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 32.0% | 32.5% |
| Harrison Saliba | 7.8% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 23.3% | 17.7% | 7.9% |
| Rona Utku | 13.6% | 18.1% | 22.7% | 20.4% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 2.6% |
| Karey Sharp | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 21.7% | 50.4% |
| Niko Twilla | 11.2% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 22.4% | 13.4% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.