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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.16+3.06vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia1.01+0.38vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.01+0.95vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.52-0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.49-0.26vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.60-1.14vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.71-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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2.38University of British Columbia1.010.4%1st Place
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3.95Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.06Western Washington University0.520.2%1st Place
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4.74University of Washington-0.490.1%1st Place
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4.86Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.96Western Washington University-0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaan Shridhar | 11.6% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 11.5% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 35.2% | 27.0% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 12.8% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 10.1% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 21.6% | 21.7% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Ian Wolcott | 6.0% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 19.3% | 22.3% |
| Spencer Shear | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 20.9% | 24.4% |
| Tor Gammelin | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 20.6% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.