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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.52+2.02vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.16+2.14vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia1.01-0.64vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.71+1.07vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.01-1.02vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.49-1.31vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.60-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Western Washington University0.520.2%1st Place
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4.14University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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2.36University of British Columbia1.010.3%1st Place
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5.07Western Washington University-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.98Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Washington-0.490.1%1st Place
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4.74Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezekiel Ward | 24.0% | 20.0% | 20.6% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 11.3% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 34.6% | 28.7% | 16.6% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Tor Gammelin | 5.0% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 30.7% |
| Nikoline Alden | 10.7% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 9.8% |
| Ian Wolcott | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 20.4% | 20.4% |
| Spencer Shear | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 20.8% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.