← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of British Columbia1.01+1.38vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington-0.49+2.68vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.01+0.91vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-0.16+0.17vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University0.52-1.90vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-0.60-1.16vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University-0.71-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.38University of British Columbia1.010.4%1st Place
-
4.68University of Washington-0.490.1%1st Place
-
3.91Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
-
4.17University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
-
3.1Western Washington University0.520.2%1st Place
-
4.84Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
-
4.9Western Washington University-0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Blasdel | 36.9% | 24.8% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Ian Wolcott | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 18.9% | 21.4% |
| Nikoline Alden | 11.7% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 9.1% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 10.7% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 12.9% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 18.7% | 24.9% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Spencer Shear | 6.9% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 25.6% |
| Tor Gammelin | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 21.4% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.