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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+7.85vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.76+6.17vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.23+11.26vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+4.27vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.51+0.15vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+4.20vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.68+1.32vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.29+1.88vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.71+3.37vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+0.17vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.43-5.52vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.50-2.57vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.35-3.45vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-6.43vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.29-5.10vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.79-3.91vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.22-6.63vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College3.00-7.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.17Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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14.26George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.27Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.15Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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10.2Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.32Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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9.88University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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12.37U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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5.48Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.43Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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9.55Cornell University3.350.0%1st Place
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7.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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10.37College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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10.96Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Patten | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 34.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 16.6% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Killian Corbishley | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.9% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 13.1% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Lauren Turner | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Megan Magill | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Catherine Swanson | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.8% |
| Corey Hall | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.