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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.59+4.29vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.95+2.69vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.85+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.98+2.21vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+2.73vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.05+2.01vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.33+2.28vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.05-0.79vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College0.70-0.38vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.46-0.41vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.49vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.55-3.24vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.10-3.23vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-4.93vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-0.54-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Tufts University1.5913.3%1st Place
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4.69Boston College1.9513.6%1st Place
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4.55Harvard University1.8516.2%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Berkeley0.988.9%1st Place
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7.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.886.7%1st Place
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8.01Bowdoin College0.056.2%1st Place
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9.28The Citadel0.333.6%1st Place
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7.21University of Vermont1.056.0%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College0.704.3%1st Place
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9.59Northeastern University0.463.4%1st Place
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9.51Maine Maritime Academy0.413.5%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University0.555.2%1st Place
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9.77University of New Hampshire0.103.7%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.6%1st Place
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11.71Northwestern University-0.541.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gus Macaulay | 13.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 13.6% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 16.2% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% |
| Kiana Beachy | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% |
| Sam Harris | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 12.6% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.