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📊 Prediction Accuracy

22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Caroline Patten 5.1% 5.9% 5.9% 6.1% 6.4% 6.1% 6.2% 6.7% 7.3% 5.4% 6.3% 6.0% 6.8% 3.8% 5.6% 5.0% 3.6% 1.8%
Stephanie Roble 5.4% 5.8% 7.0% 7.2% 6.4% 8.3% 6.5% 6.9% 6.9% 8.1% 6.5% 4.9% 5.5% 4.6% 3.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5%
Meredith Carroll 1.0% 1.9% 1.3% 1.9% 2.2% 1.5% 2.7% 2.4% 2.1% 2.9% 3.4% 3.3% 4.1% 5.2% 7.7% 8.7% 13.0% 34.7%
Emily Lambert 6.7% 6.5% 7.0% 7.3% 6.1% 6.7% 6.6% 6.5% 4.4% 5.9% 8.0% 6.7% 6.2% 4.2% 3.3% 3.5% 3.1% 1.3%
Sydney Bolger 16.6% 12.7% 12.1% 9.5% 10.6% 7.7% 6.3% 5.3% 4.7% 3.9% 3.8% 2.2% 2.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Chandler Salisbury 4.3% 3.8% 4.2% 4.7% 5.1% 3.9% 5.5% 5.9% 6.1% 5.8% 6.4% 6.1% 7.1% 7.2% 6.1% 6.2% 6.7% 4.9%
Maggie Shea 6.0% 7.3% 7.4% 6.1% 6.4% 5.5% 7.1% 6.1% 7.0% 6.4% 5.7% 6.7% 4.7% 6.2% 4.3% 3.3% 2.2% 1.6%
Abby Featherstone 4.2% 4.5% 5.3% 4.2% 6.0% 6.2% 4.2% 6.3% 5.5% 6.0% 4.8% 6.1% 6.4% 6.6% 7.6% 7.1% 5.1% 3.9%
Killian Corbishley 2.3% 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 2.5% 3.9% 3.8% 3.5% 4.9% 4.5% 4.9% 5.7% 5.6% 5.3% 9.0% 10.7% 13.2% 12.9%
Krysta Rohde 4.7% 3.9% 3.6% 4.3% 5.1% 4.9% 5.6% 5.7% 4.6% 6.0% 6.5% 6.9% 7.2% 7.0% 6.6% 8.1% 6.2% 3.1%
Anne Haeger 13.1% 13.7% 9.4% 10.1% 10.4% 8.4% 7.2% 7.1% 5.2% 5.1% 3.0% 2.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Claire Dennis 4.5% 4.9% 6.0% 4.5% 5.7% 6.8% 5.7% 5.2% 7.2% 5.6% 4.9% 6.5% 6.6% 6.9% 6.6% 5.4% 4.2% 2.8%
Lauren Turner 4.8% 5.2% 4.9% 4.8% 5.9% 5.5% 6.1% 6.3% 5.0% 5.1% 6.8% 6.3% 6.6% 7.2% 6.8% 4.2% 5.0% 3.5%
Megan Magill 7.7% 7.0% 9.4% 8.5% 6.5% 6.4% 7.0% 5.6% 7.1% 8.2% 4.6% 4.6% 4.7% 4.4% 2.9% 2.5% 2.1% 0.8%
Catherine Swanson 3.6% 4.3% 4.8% 5.7% 4.7% 5.8% 5.4% 6.1% 6.7% 4.9% 6.7% 6.1% 5.3% 6.7% 7.4% 6.3% 5.9% 3.6%
Amanda Johnson 2.5% 1.7% 2.8% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 4.4% 4.2% 3.8% 5.0% 5.8% 6.1% 6.3% 7.7% 6.3% 9.0% 10.8% 13.8%
Corey Hall 4.3% 4.2% 4.2% 4.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.1% 5.3% 5.8% 5.7% 6.1% 5.7% 6.5% 7.0% 8.1% 7.4% 7.7% 3.9%
Charlotte Dorris 3.2% 4.6% 2.4% 4.4% 2.8% 4.6% 4.6% 4.9% 5.7% 5.5% 5.8% 7.3% 7.1% 7.2% 6.3% 7.2% 9.5% 6.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.