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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.01+1.41vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.52+1.04vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.01+0.94vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.16+0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.49-0.29vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.60-1.19vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.71-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41University of British Columbia1.010.4%1st Place
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3.04Western Washington University0.520.2%1st Place
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3.94Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Washington-0.490.1%1st Place
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4.81Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.92Western Washington University-0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Blasdel | 36.3% | 24.8% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 20.4% | 24.4% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Nikoline Alden | 11.9% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 10.2% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 12.2% |
| Ian Wolcott | 6.4% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 22.4% |
| Spencer Shear | 7.3% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 24.5% |
| Tor Gammelin | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 16.7% | 21.1% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.