← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University-0.60+3.80vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University-0.01+1.88vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.71+2.03vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University0.52-0.91vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington-0.49-0.27vs Predicted
-
6University of British Columbia1.01-3.58vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington-0.16-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.8Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
-
3.88Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
-
5.03Western Washington University-0.710.1%1st Place
-
3.09Western Washington University0.520.2%1st Place
-
4.73University of Washington-0.490.1%1st Place
-
2.42University of British Columbia1.010.3%1st Place
-
4.05University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Shear | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 23.1% | 23.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 11.8% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 9.2% |
| Tor Gammelin | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 30.1% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 20.9% | 20.4% | 21.4% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Ian Wolcott | 6.4% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 22.5% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 34.4% | 27.5% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 12.3% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.