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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+0.95vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75-0.09vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.04+0.62vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia-1.02+0.78vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.37-1.59vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.62-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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1.91Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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3.62University of British Columbia0.040.1%1st Place
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4.78University of British Columbia-1.020.0%1st Place
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3.41Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Oregon-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 38.1% | 37.8% | 16.8% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Dawson | 42.5% | 31.5% | 19.5% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Zelda Ladefoged | 7.7% | 10.4% | 24.4% | 32.2% | 20.4% | 4.9% |
| Margaret Joba-Woodruff | 1.5% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 17.4% | 38.6% | 30.3% |
| Chandler Sharp | 9.0% | 14.4% | 26.7% | 30.4% | 15.1% | 4.4% |
| Duncan Jackson | 1.2% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 23.3% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.