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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.85+3.52vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.95+2.68vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.59+2.28vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.05+3.12vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+2.84vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.46+3.61vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.10+2.95vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.81vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.38vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.05-1.92vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.55-2.30vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College0.70-3.71vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.33-3.61vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-0.54-2.17vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Harvard University1.8515.2%1st Place
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4.68Boston College1.9514.7%1st Place
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5.28Tufts University1.5912.3%1st Place
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7.12University of Vermont1.057.5%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.887.4%1st Place
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9.61Northeastern University0.463.2%1st Place
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9.95University of New Hampshire0.103.6%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Berkeley0.989.2%1st Place
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9.38Maine Maritime Academy0.413.9%1st Place
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8.08Bowdoin College0.055.3%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University0.554.2%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College0.705.7%1st Place
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9.39The Citadel0.333.1%1st Place
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11.83Northwestern University-0.541.3%1st Place
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9.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 15.2% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 14.7% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gus Macaulay | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% |
| Sam Harris | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.7% |
| Will Cornell | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Kiana Beachy | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 7.8% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 32.8% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.