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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+2.45vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.57+3.31vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University0.36+5.82vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.15+2.60vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.30+5.79vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+1.83vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-0.12+2.28vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.60-0.96vs Predicted
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10University of Pittsburgh-0.62+1.52vs Predicted
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11Princeton University2.35-7.44vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.17-8.11vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook0.90-5.80vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College-0.60-2.47vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.95-0.76vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-2.21-1.32vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.58-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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5.31Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.82Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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6.6Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.83Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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10.28Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.04Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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3.56Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.89U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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7.2SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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11.53Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.24Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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14.68Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
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8.28Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Bennett | 22.4% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Brady | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 1.8% |
| Townsend Morey | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John Dixon | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Henry Proud | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Merrill | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 19.5% | 11.5% | 4.6% |
| Connor Mraz | 19.1% | 17.1% | 20.0% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Margay | 19.3% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Dunton | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 3.3% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 14.0% | 30.0% | 35.6% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 23.8% | 52.6% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.