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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.17+2.83vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+1.50vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.57+2.36vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35-0.47vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+2.82vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.34vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.60+1.19vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.15-1.58vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University0.36-0.27vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.12+0.31vs Predicted
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11University of Pittsburgh-0.62+0.48vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-0.30-1.24vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.95+0.27vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College-0.60-3.49vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-2.21-1.33vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.58-8.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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3.5George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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5.36Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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3.53Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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7.82Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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7.34SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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8.19Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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6.42Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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8.73Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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10.31Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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14.27Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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11.51Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.67Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
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8.27Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 18.1% | 17.6% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bennett | 22.7% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 20.6% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Henry Proud | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Brady | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| John Dixon | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Bryce Merrill | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 20.3% | 12.7% | 3.9% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 12.2% | 30.1% | 36.8% |
| Luke Dunton | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 4.2% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 24.1% | 52.2% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.