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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+2.40vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.17+1.85vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.58+5.00vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.57+1.39vs Predicted
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5Princeton University2.35-1.52vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.15+0.54vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-0.12+3.05vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University0.36-0.39vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.90-2.90vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College-0.60+0.39vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.19+0.59vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.60-5.05vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.95+0.11vs Predicted
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15University of Pittsburgh-0.62-3.73vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-8.31vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-2.21-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.85U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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8.0Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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5.39Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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3.48Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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6.54Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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10.05Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.61Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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7.1SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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11.39Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.59University of Delaware-1.190.0%1st Place
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7.95Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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14.11Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.69Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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14.57Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Bennett | 22.7% | 18.6% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Margay | 19.3% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 8.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 20.7% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Dixon | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Luke Dunton | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 9.8% | 3.3% |
| Morgan Kelly | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 21.3% | 20.1% | 11.8% |
| Henry Proud | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 27.0% | 34.3% |
| Bryce Merrill | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
| Townsend Morey | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 25.9% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.