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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+2.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.17+1.89vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35+0.49vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+3.72vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.16vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-0.12+4.09vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University0.36+1.75vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.57-2.83vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College-0.60+2.22vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech1.15-3.53vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.19+0.59vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.60-4.99vs Predicted
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14University of Pittsburgh-0.62-2.67vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.58-7.09vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.95-1.85vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-2.21-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.89U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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3.49Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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7.72Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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7.16SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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10.09Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.75Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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5.17Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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11.22Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.47Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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12.59University of Delaware-1.190.0%1st Place
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8.01Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.91Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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14.15Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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14.58Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Bennett | 21.1% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Margay | 18.1% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 20.8% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Dixon | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Max Gillette | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Dunton | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 10.0% | 2.8% |
| Nicholas Brady | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kelly | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 21.2% | 21.6% | 10.0% |
| Henry Proud | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Merrill | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 10.2% | 2.8% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 26.9% | 36.0% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 23.4% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.