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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.85+3.61vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.55+6.65vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.59+2.34vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.05+3.23vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.46+4.57vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College0.70+2.31vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.95-2.47vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.10+1.82vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.60vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.05-1.87vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.33-1.74vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.54-0.47vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.98-6.71vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-4.77vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-7.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Harvard University1.8515.6%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University0.554.3%1st Place
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5.34Tufts University1.5911.8%1st Place
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7.23University of Vermont1.057.4%1st Place
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9.57Northeastern University0.464.0%1st Place
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8.31Dartmouth College0.705.0%1st Place
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4.53Boston College1.9515.8%1st Place
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9.82University of New Hampshire0.102.3%1st Place
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9.6Maine Maritime Academy0.413.5%1st Place
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8.13Bowdoin College0.054.8%1st Place
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9.26The Citadel0.334.2%1st Place
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11.53Northwestern University-0.542.4%1st Place
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6.29University of California at Berkeley0.989.0%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.6%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.886.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 15.6% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Gus Macaulay | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 15.8% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Harris | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% |
| Anna Kovacs | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 31.9% |
| Will Cornell | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.