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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+2.28vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+1.36vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.58+4.72vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.92vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.17-1.26vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College-0.60+5.05vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.57-1.83vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University0.36+0.27vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech1.15-2.87vs Predicted
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10University of Pittsburgh-0.62+1.11vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology-0.60-0.03vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.19+0.44vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.60-5.43vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-2.21-0.62vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute-0.12-6.17vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.95-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.36George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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7.72Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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6.92SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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3.74U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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11.05Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.17Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.27Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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6.13Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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11.11University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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10.97Stevens Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Delaware-1.190.0%1st Place
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7.57Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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14.38Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
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9.83Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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14.07Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 24.1% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bennett | 23.5% | 17.4% | 19.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Louis Margay | 17.6% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Dunton | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Max Gillette | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 5.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Merrill | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Deutsch | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 2.7% |
| Morgan Kelly | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 19.5% | 17.1% | 11.6% |
| Henry Proud | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 12.8% | 22.6% | 43.7% |
| John Dixon | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 27.6% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.