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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.17+2.67vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+1.36vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+0.32vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-0.62+7.18vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.60+2.69vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.15+0.22vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.57-1.83vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-2.21+6.33vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.90-2.22vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.58-2.22vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College-0.60-0.05vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.12-2.27vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University0.36-5.68vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-0.60-4.10vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.95-1.97vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-1.19-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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3.36Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.32George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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11.18University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.69Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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6.22Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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5.17Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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14.33Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
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6.78SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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7.78Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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10.95Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.73Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.32Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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10.9Stevens Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.03Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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12.57University of Delaware-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 19.0% | 18.3% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 21.7% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bennett | 22.8% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Merrill | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 3.0% |
| Henry Proud | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 19.8% | 46.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Dunton | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| John Dixon | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Deutsch | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 27.2% | 34.7% |
| Morgan Kelly | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 21.0% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.