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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.17+2.63vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.60+5.71vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.39+0.20vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.15+2.31vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+2.49vs Predicted
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6Princeton University2.35-2.66vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University0.36+1.58vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-0.12+1.88vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.58-1.22vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.90-3.01vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College-0.60+0.21vs Predicted
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12Villanova University0.11-2.72vs Predicted
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14University of Pittsburgh-0.62-2.70vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-0.30-4.62vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.95-1.73vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-2.21-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63U. S. Naval Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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7.71Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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3.2George Washington University2.390.2%1st Place
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6.31Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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7.49Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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3.34Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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8.58Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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9.88Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.78Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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6.99SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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11.21Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.28Villanova University0.110.0%1st Place
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11.3University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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14.27Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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14.67Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Margay | 18.7% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Janov | 23.3% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 22.0% | 20.1% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| John Dixon | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Dunton | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 11.6% | 2.9% |
| Brian Tiernan | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Bryce Merrill | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 3.8% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 30.7% | 38.8% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 23.3% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.