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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.74+0.78vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh0.14+4.71vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.29+0.98vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.16vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.72+0.21vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.26+0.50vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.18+0.68vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College-1.68+2.70vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-2.01vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.89+1.36vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-1.26-1.36vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.17-5.39vs Predicted
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14Washington College-0.92-4.24vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-1.88-2.79vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-3.24-1.17vs Predicted
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17Monmouth University-1.67-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78George Washington University2.740.5%1st Place
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6.71University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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3.98U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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5.16SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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5.21Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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6.5Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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7.68Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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11.7Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
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7.99Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Delaware-1.890.0%1st Place
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10.64Virginia Tech-1.260.0%1st Place
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7.61Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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9.76Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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12.21Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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14.83Rutgers University-3.240.0%1st Place
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11.88Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ehnot | 54.6% | 25.6% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 3.6% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Carminati | 11.8% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 6.5% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 6.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| River Dixon | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 5.6% |
| Alex Wiggins | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Caracuzzo | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 21.4% | 9.3% |
| David Fehrle | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Benjamin Lilly | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Haber Carlson | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| victor lu | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 9.2% |
| Adam Warner | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 64.6% |
| Julia Baginski | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.