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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.74+0.78vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.72+3.23vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh0.14+3.71vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.290.00vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.17+2.61vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.92+3.83vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College-1.68+4.81vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.79-3.03vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-0.98vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-1.88+2.31vs Predicted
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11Villanova University0.26-4.54vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-1.67-0.25vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.18-6.39vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-1.26-4.38vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-1.89-3.59vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-3.24-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78George Washington University2.740.5%1st Place
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5.23Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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4.0U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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7.61Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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9.83Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.81Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
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4.97SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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8.02Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.31Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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6.46Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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11.75Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
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7.61Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.62Virginia Tech-1.260.0%1st Place
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12.41University of Delaware-1.890.0%1st Place
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14.88Rutgers University-3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ehnot | 54.7% | 24.3% | 13.3% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 6.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Carminati | 11.1% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lilly | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Haber Carlson | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| River Dixon | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 6.5% |
| James Gilmore III | 6.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| victor lu | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 19.3% | 9.7% |
| Curtis Aaron | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Baginski | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 7.1% |
| Connor Larson | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Fehrle | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 1.7% |
| Sophia Caracuzzo | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 20.0% | 9.6% |
| Adam Warner | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 64.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.