← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Villanova University0.26+5.04vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University2.74-0.23vs Predicted
-
3University of Pittsburgh0.14+3.41vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook0.79+0.90vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy1.29-1.19vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University0.72-0.90vs Predicted
-
7Stevens Institute of Technology-1.73+4.46vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University-0.18-0.81vs Predicted
-
9Virginia Tech-1.26+1.13vs Predicted
-
10Washington College-0.92-0.68vs Predicted
-
11Ocean County College-1.68+0.25vs Predicted
-
12Webb Institute-0.17-4.78vs Predicted
-
14Penn State University-1.88-2.27vs Predicted
-
15Rutgers University-3.24-0.53vs Predicted
-
16University of Delaware-2.84-2.11vs Predicted
-
17Monmouth University-1.67-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.04Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
-
1.77George Washington University2.740.6%1st Place
-
6.41University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
-
4.9SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
-
3.81U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
-
5.1Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
-
11.46Stevens Institute of Technology-1.730.0%1st Place
-
7.19Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
10.13Virginia Tech-1.260.0%1st Place
-
9.32Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
-
11.25Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
-
7.22Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
-
11.73Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
-
14.47Rutgers University-3.240.0%1st Place
-
13.89University of Delaware-2.840.0%1st Place
-
11.32Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Aaron | 3.7% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 55.9% | 24.4% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 8.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Carminati | 11.5% | 21.3% | 19.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 6.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jahnige | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 4.0% |
| Connor Larson | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Fehrle | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Haber Carlson | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| River Dixon | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 3.9% |
| Benjamin Lilly | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| victor lu | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 5.4% |
| Adam Warner | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 20.4% | 48.3% |
| Tyler Merrow | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 14.4% | 25.9% | 32.3% |
| Julia Baginski | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.