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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.74+0.74vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-0.17+5.18vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.29+0.77vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.72+1.04vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh0.14+1.49vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College-1.68+5.35vs Predicted
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7Villanova University0.26-0.81vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.79-3.23vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.18-2.79vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.92-1.64vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-1.26-1.82vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology-1.73-1.59vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.88-2.30vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-1.67-3.81vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-2.84-2.11vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-3.24-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74George Washington University2.740.6%1st Place
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7.18Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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3.77U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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5.04Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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11.35Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
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6.19Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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4.77SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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7.21Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.36Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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10.18Virginia Tech-1.260.0%1st Place
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11.41Stevens Institute of Technology-1.730.0%1st Place
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11.7Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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11.19Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
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13.89University of Delaware-2.840.0%1st Place
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14.53Rutgers University-3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ehnot | 55.3% | 26.3% | 11.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lilly | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Carminati | 12.5% | 19.1% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 6.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Dixon | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 4.5% |
| Curtis Aaron | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 7.0% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Haber Carlson | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| David Fehrle | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Sean Jahnige | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 4.6% |
| victor lu | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 4.9% |
| Julia Baginski | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 3.6% |
| Tyler Merrow | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 26.4% | 30.9% |
| Adam Warner | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 20.1% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.